Ukungagqibeki ku Ukraine. Kuthetha ukuthini ukuba Ukraine iphutha? Ipredikshini of emiselweyo in Ukraine

Ekupheleni kuka-2014 kwaba nzima gqitha Ukraine. Xa izihlwele ngokubanzi kunye namajelo ngokufuthi uyakwazi ukuva ukuba lizwe kwixesha elizayo nje abayi kuba nakho ukuhlawula amatyala, kwaye kokwendalo kwi Ukraine akunakuphepheka. Ezona zinto zifuneka kuqala ukuze izinto ezinjalo kufuneka iingxaki ezinkulu kwicandelo zemali. Isidumo kwakheka ngenxa unciphiso kakhulu kwezibonelelo ngenxa apho urhulumente kwaye kwafuneka ukuba ukuthobela neemfanelo zabo.

izibakala

Ukususela ngoJanuwari 31, 2014 ityala angaphandle kweli lizwe yaba 222.4 billion hryvnia, okanye 27.8 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi. Eli nani ingqamana-38% etyala iyonke, apho oqinisekisa lizwe kunye nokuba ibe yi-585,3 billion hryvnia, okanye 73,2 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi. Ekuqaleni kuka-2015, urhulumente sanyanzeleka ukuba ahlawule malunga 12.7 yezigidi hryvnia, kwaye iqinisekiswe kuphela ityala lwangaphandle. Ngokungqinelana ne-mali karhulumente, okuyinto ngokwaso umbhali Yatseniuk ubiza zimbi, ngoJanuwari kwafuneka ukuba ahlawule le mali ka-6.03 bhiliyoni hryvnia kuphela ngokusetyenzwa kwetyala. Xa kuhlawulwe isixa oyintloko ematyaleni accounted for 6.67 billion kuphela hryvnia.

Yintoni eyabangela imincili wezazi?

Mpikiswano phakathi neengcali malunga nokuba kokwendalo kuthatha indawo e Ukraine okanye hayi, zabangelwa unciphiso elibukhali kwi umthamo begolide neemali zangaphandle oovimba kweli lizwe, nto leyo esetyenziselwa inkonzo ityala lwangaphandle. Uyakwazi ukuthetha ekunciphiseni asethi xa kuthelekiswa no-Oktobha ngo-20.82% ngo-Novemba 2014. Ukuba ukuguqulela isafobe kwi imali yeloo lizwe ifomati, oko kuya kufikelela kuma 2,621 ezigidi zeerandi. Kakubi ngayo ingxelo Moodys arhente, nto leyo iqeshe iingcali 4500 abavela kumazwe-26. Wenze yangaphambili ngokusilela eUkraine, zisebenze kukuba kule minyaka ili-10, SMP ifikelele irekhodi yayo esezantsi.

Lenza ntoni urhulumente?

Ngaphandle kwento yokuba amathuba okuba okwendalo kweli lizwe sithathwa ziingcali ezininzi ngezinga eliphezulu lilonke, urhulumente kule nkalo iinkolelo zabo. Intloko ye-National Bank of lizwe Gontareva uthi le meko iphantsi kolawulo, yaye ngenxa overruns cost - lilinge ukugcina izinga lotshintshiselwano-8 hryvnia ngenxa dollar enye kunye nenkxaso ungquzulwano kwezomkhosi kwimpuma yelo lizwe. kwempumelelo ungquzulwano zeemoto ezininzi eyaphela ngo ukungaphumeleli, yaqala ukuna eurobonds prerequisite Ukrainian. Nangona run-up esamkelwa ngoDisemba 29, 2014 mali kunye simo, njengoko apho eshotayo yohlahlo lwabiwo -mali ukuya 63.67 billion hryvnia, urhulumente ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka uthi elibonakalayo ukuba iimali zonke zilahlekile. Noko ke, elinye kuphela Enyanisweni kukunqongophala imali yenkonzo ityala sele ethetha malunga nengxaki zezimali ngokupheleleyo. Ukumelana ukuphunyezwa nezibophelelo phantsi ityala liya kuba kunokwenzeka kuphela ngenkxaso esebenzayo Iwabantu abatyalwayo yangaphandle.

Yintoni akugqibekanga?

Default e Ukraine nga zizakujongwa njengo ukhusela ukuba uyakwazi ukukhusela ilizwe ukusuka ungonakala epheleleyo kwezoqoqosho. nkqubo ibonelela ngendlela eyenza ukuba uboleke imali ukuba ayihlawule ityala ngeskim eliphezulu. Uyakwazi ukuthetha ngokutsha ngamatyala, kuquka iintlawulo kuhlehliselwe ukuya mzuzu ilizwe liya kuphuma yeentlekele nini. Ngokubanzi, isenzeko iza kwenza kube lula ukubuyisela uqoqosho lwasekhaya karhulumente. Njengoko icala theoretical component imbambano, iye enye kuphela wakukhankanya oonobangela kwekota panic eluntwini.

Yeyiphi into iingcali zithi ngenxa kokwendalo kwi Ukraine?

Ukuba engagqibekanga ezisemthethweni Ukraine ziya kubhengezwa, iza kuvela kumangala olukhulu abameli oluntu kunye namashishini ukuya kwiindonga kunye neemali liqinisekisiwe iidipozithi, kwicala iinkampani ezivela kwicandelo logcino, nto leyo eza kuzama lokuxhaphaza meko. Ngokutsho kweengcali, kuya kwandisa inani ukumangalelana phakathi kwamaqela ngenxa ukuncitshiswa berhafu abanyanisekileyo kweli lizwe. Imiphumo kokwendalo kwi Ukraine kunzima kakhulu ukuqikelela, ekubeni ubunzima kwicandelo logcino, urhulumente uza kumisela uphawu kwayo yonke yesebe umsebenzi kunye nophuhliso karhulumente.

Ephumayo nzima imeko

Basil Yurchishin, ngubani waba oyingcali Uqoqosho lwesizwe, uthi le meko kweli lizwe, izanyazanyiswa yesambuku enkulu ngokwaneleyo. Into yokuqala into elothusayo off abatyali amazwe - ukungavisisani yasemkhosini empumalanga. Uyakwazi ukuthetha amanqaku kunokuba phantsi lizwe kumgangatho wamazwe ngamazwe. IKomiti Statistics State ithi kwisithuba ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuSeptemba kuqoqosho karhulumente yayityalwe 1.8 billion kuphela hryvnia. Yaba ngeli xesha ukuhla nge-14.9% xa ekukhuleni kutyalomali ngqo oluvela kumazwe angaphandle. Oku kunxulumene ngqo ukwehla kule hryvnia, leyo, ngokutsho data ezisemthethweni ezibonelelwa yi-National Bank of lizwe yaba kwi 58,9%. Urhulumente uqinisekisa abantu ukuba ilizwe ayikho ngaphandle kwenkxaso waseMerika, China kunye EU, ngenxa ngokwezavenge, ezinako ukusombulula zonke iingxaki karhulumente. Nangona iimeko, phantse akukho namnye unako ukuthi Ukraine esengozini emiselweyo. Bet ezibekwe ukukwazi yokucima isenzeko ngenxa inkxaso ngamandla yamazwe iqabane.

Yintoni eza kwenzeka Ukraine kwixesha elizayo?

Iingcali kokuhlola umbuzo wokuba ingaba kuya kubakho engagqibekanga eUkraine, bakufumanisa kunzima ukunika impendulo esichazayo. Eminye uphuhliso iya kuxhomekeka kuphela kwisigqibo amazwe ehlabathini kule nkalo ukhathalelo. Ukuba isenzeko liya kwenzeka, nangona eli lizwe liya kuba nethuba kusetyenziswa nokuvuselelwa elide re-faka iqonga ehlabathini, kodwa kuya kufuneka ukuba nazo neengxaki ezithile. Ukufunda umbuzo ukuba kuthetha ntoni ukuba Ukraine ukusilela, singathetha ngayo kokuwa zixeliweyo ngamazwe, kungoko yayikukuphuphuma kakhulu capital yomtyali ayinakuphepheka. amazwe World bayeke mboleko, inkxaso-mali iya kufumaneka kuphela xa inzala aphezulu kunye nokubonelelwa izibambiso. Ukuwa ngeranti, ukuhla ongenisa, ukuncitshiswa ingeniso yokwenene yabantu, ukunyuka ngqesho - oku nje esisiseko, yintoni musa uyeke iingcali zithi. nefuthe elibi ziza kubekwa kwicandelo leebhanki, ingakumbi kwenzeka ukuvalwa amaziko ezininzi zemali,-akhawunti yomthengi ayangenana, ukuntsonkotha inkqubo bafake imali yokwenene amacandelo ezoqoqosho. Kukho kungenzeka ukuba ezinye nxaxheba iibhanki nezibambiso kurhwebo luza kususwa zonke izibophelelo, elandela umzekelo karhulumente. abangaphangeliyo nakanjani. Iingcali, ngokuqonda nokuhlola le meko, waphawula ubukho uluhlu olupheleleyo ngeziganeko, kangangoko kakhulu kwaye sincinane ezivakaliswa kuqoqosho namhlanje.