Yeyiphi eyona ndlela Monte Carlo?

Phantsi indlela Monte Carlo ngokuqhelekileyo kuqondwa enye indlela yokubumba zamanani, nto leyo yayisekelwe ingqiqo 'ibhokisi elimnyama. "

Indlela Monte Carlo libandakanyeka kwiimeko apho ukusetyenziswa kwe modeli okuhlalutya ziyenzeka kunzima okanye akunakwenzeka ngokupheleleyo (umzekelo, xa usombulula iingxaki ithiyori tyhu, imisebenzi yophando, washwankathela isifundo seenkqubo stochastic, njalo njalo).

Makhe sihlolisise ngokweenkcukacha indlela Monte Carlo kuqoqosho.

Ukusetyenziswa indlela yokubumba zamanani singayizekelisa ukusuka umda tyhu theory. Ngoko ke, masithi ufuna ukufumana phandle kufuneka elide njani nakangaphi na ukuba ulinde kubathengi emgceni kwindawo ethile (ekuqaleni beka) umthamo we evenkileni. Ezi izibalo, indawo yokuqala, kuyimfuneko ukuba wenze isigqibo malunga nokuba ukwandisa evenkileni kufuneka. Njengoko usazi, yiya abathengi, idla random okanye ngezwi elingaqondakaliyo, ngoko, ukwabiwa kwexesha indlela ebizwa ngokuba yiyo, ngoko kukho umsantsa phakathi ngalinye mabandla ezimbini ezilandelelanayo abathengi ukuba ngokuzimeleyo ukucwangcisa, ngokusekelwe kulwazi olukhoyo. Kwelinye icala, ixesha inkonzo yomxhasi ngamnye une umlinganiswa random, ngaloo ndlela ukusasazwa wayo nazo andibhaqwa. Ngoko ke, siye inkqubo ezimbini stochastic, unxibelelwano ngqo edala zonke.

Njengoko ibonisa practice, esebenzisa bokwenene-ubomi Monte Carlo Lendlela amaxesha ngokungakhethiyo amaninzi kuwo onke amathuba, lo gama kugcinwe iimpawu ezifanayo lonikezelo. Umphumo iya kuba eyenziweyo kwakhona ukwenza yonke into yale nkqubo. Ke siphindaphinda le ndlela kwakhona, ixesha ngalinye ukutshintsha iimeko, kusenokwenzeka ukuba afumane iinkcukacha-manani, ukuba yaqokelelwa ngexesha lenene.

Ngokufanayo, unako kwakhona izihlandlo eziliqela lokuphinda umfanekiso ngumntu yomsebenzi phantse nayiphi na ivenkile, ukusebenzisa indlela Monte Carlo. Ukulinganisa umzekelo kule meko bekuya kuba ukuphinda i data wokwenene. Ngaba wafumana kwakhona ngentla inkqubo ezimbini stochastic. intsebenziswano yazo enye kwi umphumo lokugqibela kwakhona iya kukhupha "ithuba" kunye phantse indlela abaqhuba efanayo ebomini.

Ngoko ke, indlela Monte Carlo for Research sikuko modeling ezingezizo isicelo okuphindwayo siyiqaphele random. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba ukuqonda ekuthiwa-ngamnye kungenjalo ekubhekiselelwe uvavanyo manani.

Ukuze siqonde oko kuthethwa indlela ukhetho random kufuneka nje usebenzise ezivame idayisi. Noko ke, xa kusenziwa, njengoko umthetho, itheyibhile yamanani random zisetyenziswa. Ukongeza, iinkqubo okwangoku zithandwa kakhulu kwaye ezizodwa iikhompyutha abaphakathi neengcali kuthiwa umbane inani ejikelezayo. Enyanisweni, indlela Monte Carlo ilula, esebenzayo kwaye kulula ukuyisebenzisa, nto leyo ebangela ukusetyenziswa kwayo enkulu, zombini kuqoqosho kunye nezinye izifundo zesayensi nzima.